Political and Country Risk: Measurement, Forecasting, and Scenario Analysis
Preston Keat is a managing director and head of political and country risk at UBS. In this role he oversees the bank’s political and country risk team, which analyzes a broad range of economic and policy themes, coordinates country rating and exposure limits, and manages stress-scenario development. He also leads the firm’s internal "Economist Forum" and “Risk Think Tank.”
Prior to joining UBS, Preston worked for ten years at the political risk consultancy, Eurasia Group, where he was a research director, head of the Europe practice, and a member of the management committee. At the German Marshall Fund of the US in Washington DC, he worked on the Fund's programs for political and economic development in Central and Eastern Europe. He has also taught a courses in political risk (Columbia), political economy, statistics and game theory (UCLA). He holds a Ph.D. from UCLA, an M.Sc. from the London School of Economics, and a B.A. from the College of William and Mary.
UBS Group is a Swiss multinational investment bank and financial services company. As of March 2018, UBS is the 11th largest bank in Europe with a market capitalization of USD 64.5 billion and assets under management of over CHF 3.2 trillion.
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